As the election approaches, investors are bracing for potential surprises—will history repeat itself, or are we in for something new?

This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, dig into key forces at play—rising inflation, surging small- and mid-cap stocks, and why investors are staying calm despite higher CPI and PPI numbers. As Q4 unfolds, they consider whether seasonal trends might cool inflation and how hurricanes could influence the Fed's next steps.

They also discuss how the election could sway the markets, why a split Congress might benefit investors, and which trends like defense spending and a strong dollar are likely to stick. Plus, they unpack the spike in the volatility index (VIX) and what it could mean for a post-election market shift.

Join us to gain insights and prepare for the market's next moves!

Key Highlights:

• Inflation Trends: Insights into the recent CPI and PPI data, including signs of easing in shelter costs and projections for Q4
• Market Dynamics: How small- and mid-cap stock strength contributes to broader market gains, supported by strong earnings from major banks
• Election Impact: Tight polling and the prospects of a split Congress could create a favorable market environment, with defense spending and dollar strength likely to continue
• Volatility and VIX: What the elevated volatility index suggests about investor sentiment ahead of the election
• Labor Market Considerations: Potential impacts of hurricanes on employment data and what this could mean for the Fed's policy direction
• Q4 Market Outlook: Expectations for strong equity performance, driven by seasonal trends and market momentum
• And much more!

Resources:

• Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

Connect with Ryan Detrick:

• LinkedIn: Ryan Detrick
• X: Ryan Detrick

Connect with Sonu Varghese:

• LinkedIn: Sonu Varghese
• X: Sonu Varghese