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2034 cover art

2034

By: Elliot Ackerman, Admiral James Stavridis
Narrated by: Emily Woo Zeller, P.J. Ochlan, Vikas Adam, Dion Graham, Feodor Chin
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Summary

From two former military officers and award-winning authors, a chillingly authentic geopolitical thriller that imagines a naval clash between the US and China in the South China Sea in 2034 - and the path from there to a nightmarish global conflagration.

On March 12, 2034, US Navy Commodore Sarah Hunt is on the bridge of her flagship, the guided missile destroyer USS John Paul Jones, conducting a routine freedom of navigation patrol in the South China Sea when her ship detects an unflagged trawler in clear distress, smoke billowing from its bridge. On that same day, US Marine aviator Major Chris "Wedge" Mitchell is flying an F35E Lightning over the Strait of Hormuz, testing a new stealth technology as he flirts with Iranian airspace. By the end of that day, Wedge will be an Iranian prisoner, and Sarah Hunt's destroyer will lie at the bottom of the sea, sunk by the Chinese Navy. Iran and China have clearly coordinated their moves, which involve the use of powerful new forms of cyber weaponry that render US ships and planes defenseless. In a single day, America's faith in its military's strategic pre-eminence is in tatters. A new, terrifying era is at hand.

So begins a disturbingly plausible work of speculative fiction, co-authored by an award-winning novelist and decorated Marine veteran and the former commander of NATO, a legendary admiral who has spent much of his career strategically outmaneuvering America's most tenacious adversaries. Written with a powerful blend of geopolitical sophistication and human empathy, 2034 takes us inside the minds of a global cast of characters - Americans, Chinese, Iranians, Russians, Indians - as a series of arrogant miscalculations on all sides leads the world into an intensifying international storm. In the end, China and the United States will have paid a staggering cost, one that forever alters the global balance of power. 

Everything in 2034 is an imaginative extrapolation from present-day facts on the ground combined with the authors' years working at the highest and most classified levels of national security. Sometimes it takes a brilliant work of fiction to illuminate the most dire of warnings: 2034 is all too close at hand, and this cautionary tale presents the listener a dark yet possible future that we must do all we can to avoid.

* This audiobook edition includes an exclusive interview with co-author Admiral James Stavridis.

©2021 Elliot Ackerman and Admiral James Stavridis (P)2021 Penguin Audio

Critic reviews

“It is hard to write in great detail about what ensues in this novel without giving away the drama of its denouement. Suffice it to say that there is conflict and catastrophe on a large scale, and it unfolds, as major conflicts tend to, with surprising twists and turns.... The strengths of the novel are anything but incidental to the background of one of its authors, Adm. Stavridis, a former destroyer and carrier strike group commander who retired from the Navy in 2013 as NATO Supreme Allied Commander in Europe.... Adm. Stavridis not only understands how naval fleets work; he has clearly given a great deal of thought to America’s biggest strategic risks, and at the top of the list is war with China, which, as this book seems designed to point out, could occur quite by accident and at almost any time.... One of the messages of this book is that war is utterly unpredictable and that opportunist adversaries of the U.S. are likely to play important roles in any widening confrontation.... 2034 is nonetheless full of warnings. Foremost is that war with China would be folly, with no foreseeable outcome and disaster for all. This is not a pessimistic book about America’s potential, but the picture of the world it paints before the central conflict will be a difficult one for many to accept, albeit one well supported by facts.” (Wall Street Journal)

"An unnerving and fascinating tale of a future.... The book serves as a cautionary tale to our leaders and national security officials, while also speaking to a modern truth about arrogance and our lack of strategic foresight.... The novel is an enjoyable and swiftly paced but important read.” (The Hill

“This crisply written and well-paced book reads like an all-caps warning for a world shackled to the machines we carry in our pockets and place on our laps, while only vaguely understanding how the information stored in and shared by those devices can be exploited.... In 2034, it’s as if Ackerman and Stavridis want to grab us by our lapels, give us a slap or two, and scream: Pay attention! George Orwell’s dystopian masterpiece, Nineteen Eighty-four: A Novel was published 35 years before 1984. Ackerman’s and Stavridis’s book takes place in the not-so-distant future when today’s high school military recruits will just be turning 30.” (The Washington Post

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    4 out of 5 stars

Sobering tail of an avoidable tragedy

The story is insightful, impactful and important.

Some of the situations and characters feel dated, even in 2021, and the delivery sometimes feels out of kilter with the scene.

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  • Overall
    3 out of 5 stars
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    2 out of 5 stars

Disappointing

Rather underwhelming, caught between the two stools of character-based fiction and analysis and falling short at both.

The handful of fairly shallow characters who are coincidentally at the centre of multiple major events wasn’t convincing.

From the geopolitical perspective it started fairly well but became progressively less plausible, from a former supreme allied commander of NATO it’s astonishing how little consideration was given to Europe and Russia beyond the flimsiest mention of the Suwalki Gap. It reverts to a lazy ‘America alone’ trope, ignoring its allies.

The rabbit in a hat emergence of India was just silly, China and India share an enormous border where they frequently clash, to assume Chinese intelligence wouldn’t have a grasp of their capabilities is nonsense.

The voice cast was really pretty good so a bonus star for that. I would recommend Ghost Fleet as an alternative, not perfect but covers similar ground with a little more breadth.

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  • nj
  • 21-03-24

Great believable premise

A very believable situation, possibly too optimistic in its distance in the future. The story could have had more depth, but it leaves much to the imagination with good effect. The author, though clearly highly thoughtful, and knowledgeable, misses one key aspect of human history. Rising powers always end up challenging the incumbent. WW1 was not a mistake, Germany would have found a reason one way or another, but the author is also correct in highlighting the incumbent's lack of imagination or belief that it would be possible. And today, our reliance on technology is by far our greatest weakness. Enjoy the book!

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Interesting - Apt for Today's Climate.

One can make an interesting movie.

Very apt for today's geopolitical situation.

Sort of Midway style movie.


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Interesting book

Interesting book, for sure. I am no expert on the subject, but I suspect that it is based on a realistic threat. Even if it is not, it still is an interesting read.

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A cautionary tale

The book does well to make the reader imagine a situation where the US faces a near peer adversary in the not too distant future. It provides much to consider about how the west should respond to China’s growing power and the threat of cyber attack. It’s not Tom Clancy but it certainly made me think. The parallels drawn between the US and the end of the British Empire were quite striking. The narration/performances were great too.

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    2 out of 5 stars

Good premise, but failed execution.

Well read - in fact, performed - and a really interesting premise, but ultimately it’s a lightweight version of “The Ghost Fleet” that spent no time creating a narrative of the “how” and a great deal of time, frankly, fluff.
The threat is real; actually, that is underplayed. The reliance upon technology so great, it’s the Achilles heel that decades of regulatory arbitrage have gifted the West’s greatest enemy.
So, the premise works. But at no point is even an attempt made at how this vector can be attacked, removing any real sense of threat.
Further, the story moves in great leaps in which as personal reflective stories you are informed as to events. I really don’t care about the character development and fluff.
Perhaps, growing up on Red Storm Rising and others of that genre I am spoiled. Perhaps I am of a generation that cares more about what is happening than how people feel about what is happening.
Perhaps too, I am neither and this is just a very good premise utterly ruined by a complete failure to own the how and thus drive the compulsion.

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Very thought provoking

I wonder how many of us trust our government. I certainly don’t.
This book needs to more publicity.
I will certainly recommend it.

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Look at today’s politicians when reading

A very scary book. Look at the politicians today who are in charge and ask... how would they deal with a crisis like this? This book should be in your mind every time you cast a vote.

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Unfortunately it’s too close to current reality path

Very fast paced and enjoyable fictional book but with so many connotations to the current geopolitical landscape. It’s a future that could easily be envisioned but hopefully it stays firmly as fiction!

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